Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Oui
29%
Non
71%
Variation 24 h
-8 pts
- Volume
- $11.4K
- Volume 24 h
- $2.3K
- Liquidité
- $25.7K
- Mis à jour
- 6 nov. 2026 · 17:45 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
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À propos de ce marché
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.