Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?
Oui
18%
Non
83%
Variation 24 h
-8.5 pts
- Volume
- $6.8K
- Volume 24 h
- $573
- Liquidité
- $1.6K
- Mis à jour
- 13 nov. 2026 · 22:20 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 15th Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count).
If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.