Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?

  • AI
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes 7%
No 93%
24h change +3.1 pts
Volume
$40K
24h volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Updated
Oct 15, 2026 · 07:25 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.

A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • AI
  • google
  • Recurring
  • self driving
  • Tech

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.