Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Variation 24 h
-0.3 pts
- Volume
- $595K
- Volume 24 h
- $14.7K
- Liquidité
- $101.2K
- Mis à jour
- 6 nov. 2026 · 05:55 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.