Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,450,000 and 1,500,000?

  • Politics
  • Ouvert
  • Résolution le 4 nov. 2026
  • 13 jours restants
Oui 29%
Non 71%
Variation 24 h +18.1 pts
Volume
$3.9K
Volume 24 h
$384
Liquidité
$27.3K
Mis à jour
21 oct. 2026 · 05:00 UTC

Probabilité dans le temps

Probabilité du marché IA PolyForecast

Pourquoi l’IA prévoit cette probabilité

Le raisonnement de l’IA apparaît ici dès qu’une prévision est générée pour ce marché.

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À propos de ce marché

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Elections
  • Iowa Midterm
  • Midterm MOV
  • Midterms
  • Politics
  • Senate Elections
  • turnout

Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.