Will there be exactly 8 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
-1.5 pts
- Volume
- $6.8K
- 24h volume
- $1.5K
- Liquidity
- $19.4K
- Updated
- Nov 13, 2026 · 01:45 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections held in 2026.
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Qualifying by-elections must be elections to the UK House of Commons for a vacant parliamentary seat, with polling day scheduled and held within the 2026 calendar year.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.