Will the total domestic gross for "Godzilla Minus Zero" be at least $200M by December 15?

  • Culture
  • Open
  • Resolves Dec 16, 2026
  • 35 days left
Yes <1%
No >99%
24h change —
Volume
$773
24h volume
$773
Liquidity
$1.8K
Updated
Nov 10, 2026 · 23:05 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve according to how much "Godzilla Minus Zero" box office will gross domestically from its opening (November 5, 2026) through December 15, 2026.

This market will resolve as soon as a final (i.e., not studio estimates) cumulative figure through December 15, 2026 is available, and no later than January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source is the "Total Gross" figure for December 15, 2026 in the "Daily Box Office Performance" table on the "Box Office" tab of this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page. If The Numbers does not have a final figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the "To Date" figure for December 15, 2026 on the "Domestic Daily" tab of this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) release page. If a source lists no figure for December 15, 2026, its figure for the most recent listed date before December 15, 2026 will be used.

If neither source has a final figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the figure The Numbers reports at that time, or, if The Numbers reports none, the figure Box Office Mojo reports at that time. If neither source reports any figure by January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve according to the cumulative domestic gross until and including December 15, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
  • Box Office
  • Culture
  • Movies

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.