Will the KMT win the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections?
Oui
26%
Non
74%
Variation 24 h
-8.5 pts
- Volume
- $12.9K
- Volume 24 h
- $6.6K
- Liquidité
- $28.9K
- Mis à jour
- 12 nov. 2026 · 01:45 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
IA PolyForecast
L’historique des prix est encore en cours de collecte pour cette période.
Écart IA dans le temps
Pourquoi l’IA prévoit cette probabilité
Le raisonnement de l’IA apparaît ici dès qu’une prévision est générée pour ce marché.
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the Taipei and New Taipei mayoral elections that are currently scheduled for November 28, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “KMT” or “DPP” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “KMT” or “DPP” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.