Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Nov 3, 2026
  • 13 days left
Yes 92%
No 8%
24h change -0.3 pts
Volume
$29.3K
24h volume
$5.6K
Liquidity
$40.2K
Updated
Oct 21, 2026 · 07:55 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 New York Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
  • attorney general
  • Elections
  • Midterms
  • New York Midterm
  • Politics

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.