Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?

  • Technology
  • Ouvert
  • Résolution le 1 juil. 2027
  • Se termine le 1 juil. 2027
Oui 82%
Non 19%
Variation 24 h +2.5 pts
Volume
$9.3K
Volume 24 h
$1.2K
Liquidité
$2K
Mis à jour
13 nov. 2026 · 21:05 UTC

Probabilité dans le temps

Probabilité du marché IA PolyForecast

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À propos de ce marché

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the 15th Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process.

This market pertains to the 15th Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the 15th Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the 15th launch, and this market will stay open until the 15th launch has occurred. If the 15th launch has not occurred by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
  • Big Tech
  • Culture
  • Elon Musk
  • Recurring
  • Science
  • SpaceX
  • Tech

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