Will Ricardo Estigarribia win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves May 1, 2028
Yes 15%
No 85%
24h change —
Volume
$1.1K
24h volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$3.3K
Updated
Nov 6, 2026 · 18:15 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
  • Elections
  • Global Elections
  • Main Election
  • Paraguay
  • Politics
  • World Elections

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.