Will Republicans win the Ohio Senate seat, and Democrats win Iowa and Maine?
Oui
5%
Non
95%
Variation 24 h
-0.1 pts
- Volume
- $577
- Volume 24 h
- $392
- Liquidité
- $3.4K
- Mis à jour
- 10 oct. 2026 · 04:25 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
IA PolyForecast
L’historique des prix est encore en cours de collecte pour cette période.
Écart IA dans le temps
Pourquoi l’IA prévoit cette probabilité
Le raisonnement de l’IA apparaît ici dès qu’une prévision est générée pour ce marché.
Dernières actualités pertinentes
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Ohio, Iowa, and Maine (including the special election in Ohio) that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.