Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Oui
12%
Non
89%
Variation 24 h
—
- Volume
- $22.2M
- Volume 24 h
- $197.4K
- Liquidité
- $1.4M
- Mis à jour
- 11 oct. 2026 · 08:10 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
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À propos de ce marché
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.