Will John Rose be the next to hold Blackburn's Senate seat by March 31?
Yes
27%
No
73%
24h change
+24.3 pts
- Volume
- $1.6K
- 24h volume
- $1.5K
- Liquidity
- $1.6K
- Updated
- Nov 10, 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Marsha Blackburn, to hold the United States Senate seat from Tennessee currently held by Marsha Blackburn (Class I).
A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count.
If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count.
If no person other than Marsha Blackburn has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Tennessee; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.