Will Israel be top 5 in the World Happiness Report 2027?
Yes
37%
No
64%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $5.6K
- 24h volume
- $5.6K
- Liquidity
- $648
- Updated
- Nov 14, 2026 · 09:40 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes in the top 5 of the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations (in the World Happiness Report 2026, this ranking was published as "Figure 2.1: Country rankings by life evaluations. Gallup World Poll (2023–2025)"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027.
Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to "Yes" for each country that occupies one of the top 5 places after applying this ranking.
If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027.
Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to "Yes" for each country that occupies one of the top 5 places after applying this ranking.
If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.