Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Yes
94%
No
6%
24h change
-0.8 pts
- Volume
- $21.7K
- 24h volume
- $13.1K
- Liquidity
- $16.9K
- Updated
- Nov 5, 2026 · 22:55 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.