Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 160k?
Yes
5%
No
95%
24h change
-39.5 pts
- Volume
- $359
- 24h volume
- $340
- Liquidity
- $607
- Updated
- Nov 7, 2026 · 09:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
"FRESH" (Lil Baby / Quality Control, Motown) is expected to release November 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "FRESH", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the album has not been released by December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "FRESH", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the album has not been released by December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.