Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes
53%
No
47%
24h change
+6 pts
- Volume
- $14.7K
- 24h volume
- $1.4K
- Liquidity
- $12.9K
- Updated
- Oct 16, 2026 · 16:30 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.