Will AP call US Senate control by November 4, 3:59 AM?
Yes
100%
No
0%
24h change
+41 pts
- Volume
- $10.7K
- 24h volume
- $9.8K
- Liquidity
- $25.4K
- Updated
- Nov 4, 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press calls control of the United States Senate for the Congress that will convene following the 2026 midterm elections by the specified date and time (ET). Otherwise it will resolve to “No”.
Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Only calls that Senate control has been determined will qualify. Individual race calls that do not state that Senate control has been determined will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.