Will Alberto Martínez Simón win the 2028 Paraguay presidential election?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $364
- 24h volume
- $364
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Updated
- Nov 6, 2026 · 18:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.