Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
Yes
69%
No
32%
24h change
-7 pts
- Volume
- $11.1K
- 24h volume
- $6.5K
- Liquidity
- $6.2K
- Updated
- Nov 15, 2026 · 01:45 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single human individual is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If multiple people, an organization, a group, an idea or an object is named TIME's 2026 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason the 2026 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple people, an organization, a group, an idea or an object is named TIME's 2026 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
If for any reason the 2026 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.