Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on October 12?

  • Other
  • Résolu
  • Résolution le 13 oct. 2026
  • En attente de résolution
Oui 100%
Non 0%
Variation 24 h +10 pts
Volume
$633
Volume 24 h
$533
Liquidité
$37
Mis à jour
13 oct. 2026 · 22:01 UTC

Probabilité dans le temps

Probabilité du marché IA PolyForecast

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À propos de ce marché

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Philadelphia, PA records measurable precipitation on October 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station.

A report of trace ("T") does not qualify.

The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types.

The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHL: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning.

This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHL, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHL.
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Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.