US military draft authorized in 2026?
Oui
4%
Non
96%
Variation 24 h
+0.3 pts
- Volume
- $544.3K
- Volume 24 h
- $5.6K
- Liquidité
- $44K
- Mis à jour
- 17 oct. 2026 · 14:01 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.