Will Gabriel Lorenço win in Round 1?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
-28.5 pts
- Volume
- $390
- 24h volume
- $390
- Liquidity
- $1.2K
- Updated
- Nov 8, 2026 · 01:15 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gabriel Lorenço defeats Thomas Petersen at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 1, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed.
If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.