Will Austin Bashi win by KO or TKO?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
-50 pts
- Volume
- $777
- 24h volume
- $777
- Liquidity
- $2.2K
- Updated
- Nov 8, 2026 · 01:10 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Austin Bashi defeats Carlos Calderon at UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs. Walker, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.