Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 31?

  • Politics
  • Ouvert
  • Résolution le 1 nov. 2026
  • 20 jours restants
Oui 65%
Non 35%
Variation 24 h +50 pts
Volume
$18.5K
Volume 24 h
$15K
Liquidité
$28.5K
Mis à jour
11 oct. 2026 · 13:50 UTC

Probabilité dans le temps

Probabilité du marché IA PolyForecast

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Le raisonnement de l’IA apparaît ici dès qu’une prévision est générée pour ce marché.

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À propos de ce marché

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline cancellations, or reports that the airport is closed, suspended, or restricted will not qualify on their own if FlightAware displays departures.

A qualifying period may begin as late as the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, and end after it. If a period without departures has begun but has not reached 24 consecutive hours by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until either a flight departs RUH or 24 consecutive hours have elapsed. A qualifying closure counts regardless of its cause.

The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).
  • Geopolitics
  • Houthis
  • Iran
  • Middle East
  • Politics
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Yemen

Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.