Riksdag approves Swedish Prime Minister by November 30, 2026?
Yes
18%
No
83%
24h change
-17.5 pts
- Volume
- $5.9K
- 24h volume
- $4.9K
- Liquidity
- $1.5K
- Updated
- Nov 9, 2026 · 03:20 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Riksdag approves a candidate for Prime Minister proposed by the Speaker by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
To qualify, a Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister must be approved in a Prime Minister vote (statsministeromröstning) in the Riksdag within this market's timeframe. A proposal is approved unless an absolute majority of the members of the Riksdag vote against it. A proposal naming the incumbent Prime Minister, Ulf Kristersson, will count if approved in such a vote.
Only a Prime Minister vote held after the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, or after any subsequent election, will qualify. Rejected proposals will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden or the Riksdag; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, a Speaker's proposal for Prime Minister must be approved in a Prime Minister vote (statsministeromröstning) in the Riksdag within this market's timeframe. A proposal is approved unless an absolute majority of the members of the Riksdag vote against it. A proposal naming the incumbent Prime Minister, Ulf Kristersson, will count if approved in such a vote.
Only a Prime Minister vote held after the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, or after any subsequent election, will qualify. Rejected proposals will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden or the Riksdag; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.