Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?
Oui
50%
Non
50%
Variation 24 h
—
- Volume
- $1.5K
- Volume 24 h
- $1.5K
- Liquidité
- $2.3K
- Mis à jour
- 17 oct. 2026 · 06:32 UTC
Probabilité dans le temps
Probabilité du marché
IA PolyForecast
L’historique des prix est encore en cours de collecte pour cette période.
Écart IA dans le temps
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À propos de ce marché
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Données de marché fournies par Polymarket. PolyForecast n’est pas affilié à Polymarket.