Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
  • 55 days left
Yes 11%
No 89%
24h change -11 pts
Volume
$30.5K
24h volume
$7.7K
Liquidity
$23.6K
Updated
Nov 5, 2026 · 10:40 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the United States files a civil or criminal action against U.S. Representative Ilhan Omar in any United States federal court that seeks to revoke her naturalized citizenship, or whose success — whether by judgment, conviction, or otherwise — would revoke or require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The following will not qualify on their own: a civil or criminal action whose success would neither revoke nor require the revocation of her naturalized citizenship; a referral, an investigation, a subpoena, an executed search warrant, a grand jury proceeding, or a public statement of intent to seek denaturalization by any official.

Voluntary dismissal, withdrawal, denial, or any other post-filing development will not affect resolution once a qualifying action has been filed.

The primary resolution source will be the public docket of the relevant United States court (accessible via PACER) and/or an official announcement from the U.S. Department of Justice; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • doj
  • Ilhan Omar
  • Politics
  • US Politics

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.