Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship?
Yes
6%
No
95%
24h change
-7 pts
- Volume
- $942
- 24h volume
- $805
- Liquidity
- $2.6K
- Updated
- Nov 5, 2026 · 19:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship tournament.
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Abu Dhabi Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by November 15, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.