Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Mar 1, 2027
Yes <1%
No >99%
24h change -2.1 pts
Volume
$1.2K
24h volume
$563
Liquidity
$4.1K
Updated
Nov 10, 2026 · 09:05 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count.

If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Elections
  • Global Elections
  • Israel
  • Israel Election
  • Middle East
  • Politics

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.