Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 20-22%?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
-1.1 pts
- Volume
- $10.3K
- 24h volume
- $434
- Liquidity
- $14.8K
- Updated
- Nov 2, 2026 · 16:50 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
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Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.