Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 28, 2026
  • Awaiting resolution
Yes >99%
No <1%
24h change +3.1 pts
Volume
$65.2K
24h volume
$33.8K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Updated
Oct 28, 2026 · 18:15 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Israeli legislative election to the Knesset, defined as the total number of votes cast (סה"כ קולות שהוזנו) divided by the total number of eligible voters (סה"כ בעלי זכות בחירה). (see 2022 example: https://votes25.bechirot.gov.il/)

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
  • Elections
  • Global Elections
  • International Election Props
  • Israel
  • Israel Election
  • Politics

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.