Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $1.1M
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $1M
- Updated
- Oct 9, 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.