Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for between $175m and $200m at auction?
Yes
23%
No
77%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $2.4K
- 24h volume
- $2.4K
- Liquidity
- $1.2K
- Updated
- Nov 7, 2026 · 23:45 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
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About this market
Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” (Lot 5) is expected to be sold at Sotheby's Legendary: The Blaquier-Arrieta Collection Evening Auction on November 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$150m".
The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sotheby's (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/legendary-the-blaquier-arrieta-collection-evening-auction/vincent-van-gogh-chataigner-en-fleurs-roses-et).
This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$150m".
The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sotheby's (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/legendary-the-blaquier-arrieta-collection-evening-auction/vincent-van-gogh-chataigner-en-fleurs-roses-et).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.