Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 17, 2026
  • 11h left
Yes 60%
No 41%
24h change +3 pts
Volume
$597
24h volume
$470
Liquidity
$1.8K
Updated
Oct 17, 2026 · 06:05 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Highland Heights, Kentucky on October 17, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-highland-heights-kentucky-president-donald-j-trump)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kentucky on October 17, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
  • Culture
  • Mentions
  • Midterms
  • Politics
  • Trump
  • Trump Speech

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.