Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 19, 2026
  • 15h left
Yes 62%
No 39%
24h change —
Volume
$148
24h volume
$148
Liquidity
$1.1K
Updated
Oct 19, 2026 · 06:40 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Park City, Kansas on October 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-park-city-kansas-president-donald-j-trump-ks)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Kansas on October 19, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
  • Culture
  • Mentions
  • Midterms
  • Politics
  • Trump
  • Trump Speech

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.