Will Trump say "America First" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 13, 2026
  • 13h left
Yes 41%
No 59%
24h change —
Volume
$181
24h volume
$181
Liquidity
$1.4K
Updated
Oct 13, 2026 · 09:55 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Wasilla, Alaska on October 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-wasilla-alaska-president-donald-j-trump)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Alaska on October 13, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
  • Culture
  • Mentions
  • Politics
  • Trump
  • Trump Speech

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.