Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,200,000 and 1,250,000?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Nov 4, 2026
  • 16 days left
Yes 11%
No 89%
24h change +6.2 pts
Volume
$1.8K
24h volume
$178
Liquidity
$3.2K
Updated
Oct 19, 2026 · 04:01 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Elections
  • Iowa Midterm
  • Midterm MOV
  • Midterms
  • Politics
  • Senate Elections
  • turnout

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.