Will Tony win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

  • Culture
  • Open
  • Resolves Jul 1, 2027
Yes <1%
No >99%
24h change —
Volume
$4.5K
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.1K
Updated
Oct 9, 2026 · 20:15 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Awards
  • Culture
  • Movies
  • Oscars
  • Oscars 2027
  • The Odyssey

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.