Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Nov 30, 2026
  • 34 days left
Yes 35%
No 65%
24h change -0.5 pts
Volume
$11.7K
24h volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$24.1K
Updated
Oct 27, 2026 · 21:25 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

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About this market

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
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Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.