Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 1, 2027
Yes 3%
No 97%
24h change -3.2 pts
Volume
$634
24h volume
$137
Liquidity
$651
Updated
Oct 28, 2026 · 17:00 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress, and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 7390 (119th) — SELF DRIVE Act of 2026.

Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Congress
  • Politics
  • Trump

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.