Will the median home value in NYC be between $484,000 and $497,000 on December 31?

  • Economics
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 11, 2027
Yes 14%
No 87%
24h change -1.5 pts
Volume
$6K
24h volume
$4.8K
Liquidity
$4.6K
Updated
Oct 16, 2026 · 14:20 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on December 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/58)
  • Economy
  • Housing
  • Parcl
  • real estate
  • Recurring

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.