Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?

  • Economics
  • Open
  • Resolves Oct 24, 2026
  • 2 days left
Yes <1%
No >99%
24h change —
Volume
$67.4K
24h volume
$9.1K
Liquidity
$17.7K
Updated
Oct 21, 2026 · 15:00 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

No relevant updates found.

About this market

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s October meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its October 23, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No Change" bracket.
  • Economy
  • Finance
  • Global Rates
  • macro
  • Macro Indicators
  • Recurring
  • Russia

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.