Will SpaceX run an Ad during Super Bowl LXI?
Yes
42%
No
58%
24h change
+13 pts
- Volume
- $636
- 24h volume
- $636
- Liquidity
- $175
- Updated
- Nov 11, 2026 · 06:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LXI on ABC, scheduled for February 14, 2027, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such as Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised.
Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such as Beats for Apple.
If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.