Will Scott Bessent join Trump at APEC in China?
Yes
97%
No
3%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $513
- 24h volume
- $513
- Liquidity
- $2.7K
- Updated
- Nov 11, 2026 · 15:55 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
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Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
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About this market
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No".
The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present.
If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No".
The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.