Will Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” sell for between $40m and $50m at auction?
Yes
28%
No
72%
24h change
+9.6 pts
- Volume
- $3.8K
- 24h volume
- $3.2K
- Liquidity
- $721
- Updated
- Nov 9, 2026 · 05:25 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser” (Lot 26A) is expected to be sold at Christie's 20th Century Evening Sale on November 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$40m".
The market will resolve according to the final listed “Price Realised” on Christie's (https://www.christies.com/en/lot/lot-6614747).
This market will resolve according to the final auction sale price paid for Pablo Picasso's “Le Baiser”. If the final sale price falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "<$40m".
The market will resolve according to the final listed “Price Realised” on Christie's (https://www.christies.com/en/lot/lot-6614747).
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.