Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes
<1%
No
>99%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $26.3M
- 24h volume
- $13
- Liquidity
- $2.1M
- Updated
- Oct 9, 2026 · 23:20 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
Price history is still being collected for this range.
AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
No relevant updates found.
About this market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.