Will Lisa McClain be the next House Majority Leader?

  • Politics
  • Open
  • Resolves Jan 3, 2027
  • 55 days left
Yes <1%
No >99%
24h change -0.1 pts
Volume
$1.3K
24h volume
$687
Liquidity
$4.7K
Updated
Nov 8, 2026 · 20:40 UTC

Probability over time

Market probability PolyForecast AI

Why the AI forecasts this probability

The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.

Latest relevant updates

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About this market

This market will resolve according to the first individual selected to be Majority Leader of the United States House of Representatives for the 120th United States Congress, which is scheduled to convene in January 2027 following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
  • Congress
  • Control & Seats
  • democrat
  • house of representatives
  • Midterms
  • Politics
  • Post Election
  • republican
  • Speaker

Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.