Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 12?
Yes
35%
No
66%
24h change
—
- Volume
- $8K
- 24h volume
- $8K
- Liquidity
- $2.9K
- Updated
- Nov 6, 2026 · 12:05 UTC
Probability over time
Market probability
PolyForecast AI
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AI edge over time
Why the AI forecasts this probability
The AI reasoning appears here once a forecast is generated for this market.
Latest relevant updates
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About this market
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted.
Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted.
Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.
Market data from Polymarket. PolyForecast is not affiliated with Polymarket.